Transfer portal · 2026
North Carolina Tar Heels
Both windowsProjected two-deep impacti
+17
Projected two-deep roles added · 2026 arrivals
North Carolina added 17 transfers projected into the two-deep (13 as starters) against 32 departures whose next roles aren’t tracked here. Every number on this page is counted, not modelled — no composite portal grade is published because no defensible one exists yet.
23
Arrivals
-9
32
Departures
0.86
Avg rating in
-0.00
0.86
Avg rating out
17
Proj two-deep in
—
—
Out roles untracked
12 of 23
’25 production in
—
19 of 32
’25 production out
What changed
Depth concern
More players out than in with no two-deep answer — depth, not the starting line, is the exposure.
Still unresolved
Departures with no portal answer yet. Replacement must come from the returning roster or signing class.
How the roster changed
55 moves · 11 rooms touchediOffense-4 net players
Upgraded+2 players
OL
+6 in · −4 out · 3 proj starters in
InOut
S
Jordan Hall in from UAB drives the room.
Upgraded+1 player
TE
+3 in · −2 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
Jake Johnson out to Auburn drives the room.
Replaced-1 player
QB
+2 in · −3 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
Gio Lopez out to Wake Forest drives the room.
Depth concern-1 player
RB
+1 in · −2 out
InOut
?
Davion Gause out to NC State drives the room.
Depth concern-5 players
WR
+2 in · −7 out · 2 proj starters in
InOut
?
?
Trech Kekahuna in from Wisconsin drives the room.
Defense-6 net players
Replaced—
EDGE
+3 in · −3 out · 2 proj starters in
InOut
Tyler Thompson out to Louisville drives the room.
Replaced-1 player
LB
+2 in · −3 out · 2 proj starters in
InOut
L
Khmori House out to Arkansas drives the room.
Replaced-1 player
CB
+1 in · −2 out
InOut
Ade Willie in from Michigan State drives the room.
Depth concern-2 players
DL
+2 in · −4 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
?
CJ Mims out to Texas A&M drives the room.
Unresolved-2 players
S
+0 in · −2 out
InOut
No arrivals
?
Gavin Gibson out to unannounced drives the room.
Specialists+1 net players
Upgraded+1 player
K
+1 in · −0 out · 1 proj starter in
InOutNo departures
Aeron Burrell in from LSU drives the room.
No movement—
P
+0 in · −0 out
InOutNo arrivalsNo departures
No portal movement in this room.
No movement—
LS
+0 in · −0 out
InOutNo arrivalsNo departures
No portal movement in this room.
ArrivalDepartureHeavy ring · proj starter inThin ring · rotation inDotted · depth role or no ’25 recordMarker size = ’25 production percentile (smallest = none recorded)
Did North Carolina replace what it lost?
Role slots, not player-for-playerReplaced5 chains
WR
Starting slot
Out · to Boston College
Javarius Green
rating 0.85 · 53rd pctl ’25 production · 13 rec · 150 yds
Upgrade
High confidence
In · from Wisconsin
Trech Kekahuna
rating 0.88 · 71st pctl ’25 production · 26 rec · 211 yds · 129 rush yds · wr31 starter
Jan 5
▾ Detail
WR
Starting slot
Out · to Marshall
Chris Culliver
rating 0.84 · 45th pctl ’25 production · 5 rec · 100 yds · 1 TD
Replaced
Medium confidence
In · from Lehigh
Mason Humphrey
rating 0.86 · wr21 starter
Jan 11
▾ Detail
TE
Starting slot
Out · to Auburn
Jake Johnson
rating 0.86 · 69th pctl ’25 production · 16 rec · 149 yds · 1 TD
Replaced
High confidence
In · from Ohio State
Jelani Thurman
rating 0.89 · 56th pctl ’25 production · 7 rec · 84 yds · 1 TD · te1 starter
Jan 11
▾ Detail
OL
Starting slot
Out · to Mississippi State
Miles McVay
rating 0.86
Replaced
Low confidence
In · from UAB
Jordan Hall
rating 0.87 · lt1 starter
—
▾ Detail
EDGE
Starting slot
Out · to Western Michigan
Austin Alexander
rating 0.86 · 14th pctl ’25 production · 3 tkl
Replaced
Medium confidence
In · from Delaware
Melkart Abou Jaoude
no ’25 production record · de1 starter
—
▾ Detail
Partially replaced7 chains
QB
Starting slot
Out · to Wake Forest
Gio Lopez
rating 0.86 · 73rd pctl ’25 production · 170/261 · 1,747 pass yds · 10 TD · 5 INT
Partial replacement
High confidence
In · from Wisconsin
Billy Edwards Jr.
rating 0.86 · 29th pctl ’25 production · 7/16 · 113 pass yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · qb1 starter
Jan 4
▾ Detail
QB
Rotation slot
Out · to Georgia Southern
Max Johnson
52nd pctl ’25 production · 54/87 · 437 pass yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Texas A&M
Miles O'Neill
rating 0.86 · 30th pctl ’25 production · 7/14 · 120 pass yds · 1 TD · 2 INT · qb2 rotation
Jan 6
▾ Detail
EDGE
Starting slot
Out · to Louisville
Tyler Thompson
rating 0.87 · 91st pctl ’25 production · 26 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 7 sk
Partial replacement
High confidence
In · from Penn State
Jaylen Harvey
rating 0.86 · 42nd pctl ’25 production · 9 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1 sk · de21 starter
Jan 5
▾ Detail
DL
Starting slot
Out · to Texas A&M
CJ Mims
rating 0.88 · 87th pctl ’25 production · 41 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2 sk
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Arizona
Isaiah Johnson
rating 0.89 · dt1 starter
—
▾ Detail
LB
Starting slot
Out · to Arkansas
Khmori House
rating 0.90 · 85th pctl ’25 production · 73 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1 sk · 1 INT
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Richmond
Peyton Seelmann
rating 0.84 · lb21 starter
Jan 7
▾ Detail
LB
Starting slot
Out · to Florida State
Mikai Gbayor
rating 0.91 · 65th pctl ’25 production · 36 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1 sk
Partial replacement
High confidence
In · from Syracuse
Derek McDonald
rating 0.84 · 28th pctl ’25 production · 6 tkl · lb1 starter
Jan 10
▾ Detail
CB
Rotation slot
Out · to NC State
Ty White
rating 0.85 · 25th pctl ’25 production · 3 tkl
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Michigan State
Ade Willie
rating 0.86 · 57th pctl ’25 production · 16 tkl · 2 TFL · 1 PD · nb2 rotation
Jan 8
▾ Detail
Not replaced6 chains
RB
Production lost
Out · to NC State
Davion Gause
rating 0.86 · 67th pctl ’25 production · 258 rush yds · 4.2 ypc · 3 TD · 16 rec
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No starter/rotation addition
1 depth arrival in room
Jan 11
▾ Detail
WR
Production lost
Out · to Georgia Southern
Alex Taylor
rating 0.86 · 23rd pctl ’25 production · 3 rec · 27 yds
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No further two-deep addition
2 two-deep arrivals answer other losses · 2 producing losses unanswered
Jan 18
▾ Detail
TE
Production lost
Out · to Virginia
Connor Cox
rating 0.87 · 26th pctl ’25 production · 5 rec · 21 yds
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No further two-deep addition
1 two-deep arrival answers other losses · 2 depth arrivals in room
Jan 10
▾ Detail
DL
Production lost
Out · to Oregon
D'Antre Robinson
rating 0.93 · 80th pctl ’25 production · 36 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No further two-deep addition
1 two-deep arrival answers other losses · 1 depth arrival in room
Jan 12
▾ Detail
CB
Production lost
Out · to App State
Khalil Conley
18th pctl ’25 production · 2 tkl
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No further two-deep addition
1 two-deep arrival answers other losses
Jan 8
▾ Detail
S
Production lost
Out · to unannounced
?
Gavin Gibson
78th pctl ’25 production · 37 tkl · 3 TFL · 3 PD
Unresolved
Loss not replaced
In
No portal addition
2 producing losses unanswered
Sep 5
▾ Detail
Quality vs experience
Portal rating
0.750.800.850.900.951.00
No ’25 production record
High-upside betProven impactDevelopmentalExperienced depthL
0th pctl25th pctl50th pctl75th pctl
’25 production · national position percentile
13 unrated moves not plotted — see the ledger
How much North Carolina depends on transfers
Projected 2026 two-deep · 54 slotsQuarterback100%
2
Skill (RB/WR/TE)60%
4
3
3
Offensive line50%
5
1
4
Front seven (EDGE/DL/LB)67%
4
2
6
Secondary (CB/S)40%
6
3
1
Specialists60%
4
2
4
Returning signeesPrior-cycle transfers2026 transfers
57%
Projected two-deep from transfers
31 of 54 two-deep slots
20 of 27
Projected starters from transfers
15 from the 2026 cycle, 5 held over
88th
ACC percentile · transfer share
3rd-most transfer-dependent two-deep of 17 ACC teams
Returning portal corePrior-cycle transfers still in the two-deep
Christo Kelly
OL · from Holy Cross · 2025 cycle · C1 starter
—
no ’25 record
Coleman Bryson
S · from Minnesota · 2025 cycle · S2 rotation
56th pctl
’25 production · North Carolina
Peyton Waters
S · from Washington · 2025 cycle · S21 starter
25th pctl
’25 production · North Carolina
Jacob Horvath
P · from Eastern Illinois · 2025 cycle · P2 rotation
—
no ’25 record
Benjamin Hall
RB · from Michigan · 2025 cycle · RB1 starter
60th pctl
’25 production · North Carolina
Gannon Burt
LS · from Florida · 2025 cycle · LS1 starter
—
no ’25 record
Nathan Leacock
WR · from Purdue · 2025 cycle · WR22 rotation
33rd pctl
’25 production · North Carolina
Jonathan Agumadu
LB · from Oklahoma State · 2025 cycle · LB22 rotation
38th pctl
’25 production · North Carolina
Shamar Easter
TE · from Arkansas · 2025 cycle · TE2 rotation
22nd pctl
’25 production · North Carolina
Timir Hickman-Collins
LB · from Florida State · 2025 cycle · LB2 rotation
36th pctl
’25 production · North Carolina
Greg Smith
S · from Florida · 2025 cycle · S1 starter
59th pctl
’25 production · North Carolina
Where North Carolina’s transfers came from — and where they went
Sources · 23 arrivals32 departures · destinations
Arrived from · 23
SEC
6 players
Non-FBS
5 players
Big Ten
5 players
ACC
2 players
Big 12
2 players
Pac-12
1 player
+
Other
2 players
Departed to · 32
ACC
9 players
+
Unannounced
5 players
Sun Belt
4 players
SEC
4 players
American Athletic
3 players
Non-FBS
3 players
+
Other
4 players
6arrivals came from SEC programs — the single largest source.
17arrivals are projected straight into the two-deep (15 of 23 arrivals came from P4 leagues).
9departures stayed inside the ACC.
How the window developed
Cumulative net moves · in − out5 undated moves not plotted
All portal moves
55 of 55 moves match · 25 shownShow
Role in
Sort
PlayerPosDirectionOrigin / destinationRating’25 productionEligProjected roleDate
JT
Winter window · 3★
IJ
Window unrecorded
TK
Winter window · 3★
JW
Winter window · 3★
JH
Window unrecorded
AT
Winter window · 3★
BE
Winter window · 3★
JW
Winter window · 3★
JH
Winter window · 3★
TB
Winter window · 3★
MO
Winter window · 3★
AW
Winter window · 3★
RB
Winter window · 3★
DH
Winter window · 3★
MH
Winter window · 3★