TWO DEEP
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NC State Wolfpack

NCAA · ACC · 2026
OverviewRoster changeReplacementsPortal portfolioDependenceFlowAll moves
Position
Window
Transfer portal · 2026

NC State Wolfpack

Both windows
Projected two-deep impacti
+17
Projected two-deep roles added · 2026 arrivals
NC State added 17 transfers projected into the two-deep (9 as starters) against 22 departures whose next roles aren’t tracked here. Every number on this page is counted, not modelled — no composite portal grade is published because no defensible one exists yet.
23
Arrivals
+1
22
Departures
0.86
Avg rating in
-0.01
0.87
Avg rating out
17
Proj two-deep in
Out roles untracked
12 of 23
’25 production in
10 of 22
’25 production out
What changed
Upgraded
Projected starters arrived with rating holding or rising in 3 rooms, led by TE.
Depth concern
More players out than in with no two-deep answer — depth, not the starting line, is the exposure.
Still unresolved
Every departure has a portal answer.

How the roster changed

45 moves · 11 rooms touchedi
Offense
+3 net players
Upgraded+2 players
TE
+2 in · −0 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
No departures
Hunter Provience in from Montana State drives the room.
Replaced+1 player
WR
+5 in · −4 out · 2 proj starters in
InOut
Victor Snow in from Buffalo drives the room.
Replaced
RB
+1 in · −1 out
InOut
Hollywood Smothers out to Texas drives the room.
Replaced
QB
+1 in · −1 out
InOut
?
Tad Hudson in from Coastal Carolina drives the room.
Replaced
OL
+4 in · −4 out · 2 proj starters in
InOut
Jacarrius Peak out to South Carolina drives the room.
Defense
-3 net players
Replaced+1 player
CB
+2 in · −1 out
InOut
Jivan Baly out to Old Dominion drives the room.
Replaced+1 player
DL
+3 in · −2 out
InOut
P
E
?
Katron Evans in from Marshall drives the room.
Upgraded
EDGE
+1 in · −1 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
Harvey Dyson III in from Tulane drives the room.
Depth concern-2 players
S
+1 in · −3 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
?
?
King Mack in from Penn State drives the room.
Depth concern-3 players
LB
+2 in · −5 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
Kenny Soares Jr. out to Michigan State drives the room.
Specialists
+1 net players
Upgraded+1 player
P
+1 in · −0 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
No departures
Jackson Waller in from SMU drives the room.
No movement
K
+0 in · −0 out
InOutNo arrivalsNo departures
No portal movement in this room.
No movement
LS
+0 in · −0 out
InOutNo arrivalsNo departures
No portal movement in this room.
ArrivalDepartureHeavy ring · proj starter inThin ring · rotation inDotted · depth role or no ’25 recordMarker size = ’25 production percentile (smallest = none recorded)

Did NC State replace what it lost?

Role slots, not player-for-player
Replaced
3 chains
WR
Starting slot
Out · to Alabama
Noah Rogers
rating 0.93 · 76th pctl ’25 production · 31 rec · 413 yds · 2 TD
Replaced
High confidence
In · from Buffalo
Victor Snow
rating 0.86 · 96th pctl ’25 production · 62 rec · 815 yds · 8 TD · wr21 starter
Jan 5
▾ Detail
EDGE
Starting slot
Out · to UConn
Odera Orizu
rating 0.80
Upgrade
Medium confidence
In · from Tulane
Harvey Dyson III
rating 0.86 · 94th pctl ’25 production · 31 tkl · 10 TFL · 7 sk · jack1 starter
Jan 11
▾ Detail
S
Starting slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Zack Myers
29th pctl ’25 production · 4 tkl
Upgrade
High confidence
In · from Penn State
King Mack
rating 0.87 · 90th pctl ’25 production · 58 tkl · 1 TFL · 0.5 sk · 1 INT · ss1 starter
Jan 8
▾ Detail
Partially replaced
8 chains
RB
Rotation slot
Out · to Texas
Hollywood Smothers
rating 0.94 · 94th pctl ’25 production · 939 rush yds · 5.9 ypc · 6 TD · 37 rec
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from North Carolina
Davion Gause
rating 0.86 · 67th pctl ’25 production · 258 rush yds · 4.2 ypc · 3 TD · 16 rec · rb2 rotation
Jan 11
▾ Detail
WR
Starting slot
Out · to USC
Terrell Anderson
rating 0.94 · 87th pctl ’25 production · 39 rec · 629 yds · 5 TD
Partial replacement
High confidence
In · from Miami
JoJo Trader
rating 0.88 · 57th pctl ’25 production · 13 rec · 178 yds · 1 TD · wr1 starter
Jan 23
▾ Detail
WR
Rotation slot
Out · to Charlotte
Tank Boston
rating 0.85 · 13th pctl ’25 production · 2 rec · 11 yds
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Miami
Chance Robinson
rating 0.86 · wr32 rotation
Jan 9
▾ Detail
OL
Starting slot
Out · to South Carolina
Jacarrius Peak
rating 0.94
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from East Carolina
Jimarion McCrimon
rating 0.86 · 0th pctl ’25 production · 1 tkl · lt1 starter
Jan 5
▾ Detail
DL
Rotation slot
Out · to Sam Houston
Justin Terrell
rating 0.85
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Marshall
Katron Evans
rating 0.86 · 40th pctl ’25 production · 11 tkl · 1.5 TFL · nt2 rotation
Jan 16
▾ Detail
LB
Starting slot
Out · to Michigan State
Kenny Soares Jr.
rating 0.86 · 88th pctl ’25 production · 80 tkl · 4 TFL · 0.5 sk
Partial replacement
High confidence
In · from Miami
Popo Aguirre
rating 0.89 · 68th pctl ’25 production · 43 tkl · 2 TFL · 1 PD · mlb1 starter
Jan 25
▾ Detail
LB
Rotation slot
Out · to Marshall
Kelvon McBride
24th pctl ’25 production · 5 tkl
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Penn State
Da'Kaari Nelson
rating 0.86 · 24th pctl ’25 production · 5 tkl · wlb2 rotation
Jan 17
▾ Detail
CB
Rotation slot
Out · to Old Dominion
Jivan Baly
rating 0.85 · 43rd pctl ’25 production · 9 tkl
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from North Carolina
Ty White
rating 0.85 · 25th pctl ’25 production · 3 tkl · nic2 rotation
Jan 13
▾ Detail
Not replaced
2 chains
QB
Production lost
Out · to unannounced
?
Lex Thomas
no ’25 production record
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No starter/rotation addition
1 depth arrival in room
Jan 10
▾ Detail
S
Production lost
Out · to unannounced
?
Daemon Fagan
0th pctl ’25 production · 1 tkl
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No further two-deep addition
1 two-deep arrival answers other losses
Jan 2
▾ Detail

Quality vs experience

Portal rating
0.750.800.850.900.951.00
No ’25 production record
High-upside betProven impactDevelopmentalExperienced depth
Snow
Smothers
Trader
Provience
0th pctl25th pctl50th pctl75th pctl
’25 production · national position percentile
13 unrated moves not plotted — see the ledger

How much NC State depends on transfers

Projected 2026 two-deep · 53 slots
Quarterback
2
0%
Skill (RB/WR/TE)
4
6
60%
Offensive line
6
1
3
40%
Front seven (EDGE/DL/LB)
5
2
5
58%
Secondary (CB/S)
7
1
2
30%
Specialists
6
3
33%
Returning signeesPrior-cycle transfers2026 transfers
43%
Projected two-deep from transfers
23 of 53 two-deep slots
15 of 30
Projected starters from transfers
11 from the 2026 cycle, 4 held over
31st
ACC percentile · transfer share
12th-most transfer-dependent two-deep of 17 ACC teams
Returning portal corePrior-cycle transfers still in the two-deep
Teague Andersen
OL · from Utah State · 2025 cycle · RT1 starter
no ’25 record
AJ Richardson
LB · from Norfolk State · 2025 cycle · WLB1 starter
41st pctl
’25 production · NC State
Joseph Adedire
EDGE · from Texas Tech · 2025 cycle · DE1 starter
37th pctl
’25 production · NC State
Brian Nelson II
CB · from North Texas · 2025 cycle · RCB1 starter
72nd pctl
’25 production · NC State

Where NC State’s transfers came from — and where they went

Sources · 23 arrivals22 departures · destinations
ACC
6 players
Non-FBS
5 players
Big Ten
3 players
SEC
3 players
Sun Belt
3 players
American Athletic
2 players
Other
1 player
+
Conference USA
5 players
Sun Belt
5 players
+
Unannounced
4 players
SEC
3 players
Big Ten
2 players
Independent
2 players
+
Other
1 player
NC State
+1 net moves
Arrived from · 23
ACC
6 players
Non-FBS
5 players
Big Ten
3 players
SEC
3 players
Sun Belt
3 players
American Athletic
2 players
+
Other
1 player
Departed to · 22
Conference USA
5 players
Sun Belt
5 players
+
Unannounced
4 players
SEC
3 players
Big Ten
2 players
Independent
2 players
+
Other
1 player
6arrivals came from ACC programs — the single largest source.
17arrivals are projected straight into the two-deep (12 of 23 arrivals came from P4 leagues).
0departures stayed inside the ACC.

How the window developed

Cumulative net moves · in − out
WINTER WINDOWAndersonPeakProvienceSmothersRogers-2EVENTRANSACTION ORDER · DEC 12 → FEB 16 · UNIT: NET MOVE COUNTWINTER WINDOWAndersonPeak-2EVENTRANSACTION ORDER · DEC 12 → FEB 16 · UNIT: NET MOVE COUNT
3 undated moves not plotted

All portal moves

45 of 45 moves match · 25 shown
Show
Role in
Sort
PlayerPosDirectionOrigin / destinationRating’25 productionEligProjected roleDate
TA
Terrell Anderson
Winter window · 4★
WR↑ DepartureUSC0.9487th pctl production · 39 rec · 629 yds · 5 TDImmediateJan 5
JP
Jacarrius Peak
Winter window · 4★
OL↑ DepartureSouth Carolina0.94no recordImmediateJan 9
HS
Hollywood Smothers
Winter window · 4★
RB↑ DepartureTexas0.9494th pctl production · 939 rush yds · 5.9 ypc · 6 TD · 37 recImmediateJan 11
NR
Noah Rogers
Winter window · 4★
WR↑ DepartureAlabama0.9376th pctl production · 31 rec · 413 yds · 2 TDImmediateJan 12
HP
Hunter Provience
Winter window · 3★
TE↓ Arrival
Montana State
0.89no recordImmediateTE1 starterJan 10
PA
Popo Aguirre
Winter window · 3★
LB↓ Arrival
Miami
0.8968th pctl production · 43 tkl · 2 TFL · 1 PDImmediateMLB1 starterJan 25
JT
JoJo Trader
Winter window · 3★
WR↓ Arrival
Miami
0.8857th pctl production · 13 rec · 178 yds · 1 TDImmediateWR1 starterJan 23
KM
King Mack
Winter window · 3★
S↓ Arrival
Penn State
0.8790th pctl production · 58 tkl · 1 TFL · 0.5 sk · 1 INTImmediateSS1 starterJan 8
OE
Ondre Evans
Winter window · 3★
CB↓ Arrival
Georgia
0.87no recordImmediateLCB3 depthJan 8
JM
Jimarion McCrimon
Winter window · 3★
OL↓ Arrival
East Carolina
0.860th pctl production · 1 tklImmediateLT1 starterJan 5
VS
Victor Snow
Winter window · 3★
WR↓ Arrival
Buffalo
0.8696th pctl production · 62 rec · 815 yds · 8 TDImmediateWR21 starterJan 5
CR
Chance Robinson
Winter window · 3★
WR↓ Arrival
Miami
0.86no recordImmediateWR32 rotationJan 9
EG
Elijah Groves
Winter window · 3★
LB↑ DepartureSam Houston0.86no recordImmediateJan 10
DG
Davion Gause
Winter window · 3★
RB↓ Arrival
North Carolina
0.8667th pctl production · 258 rush yds · 4.2 ypc · 3 TD · 16 recImmediateRB2 rotationJan 11
HD
Harvey Dyson III
Winter window · 3★
EDGE↓ Arrival
Tulane
0.8694th pctl production · 31 tkl · 10 TFL · 7 skImmediateJACK1 starterJan 11
TW
Tyran Warren
Winter window · 3★
WR↓ Arrival
Alcorn State
0.86no recordImmediateWR3 depthJan 11
DC
Daniel Cruz
Winter window · 3★
OL↓ Arrival
Texas
0.86no recordImmediateC2 rotationJan 12
KS
Kenny Soares Jr.
Winter window · 3★
LB↑ DepartureMichigan State0.8688th pctl production · 80 tkl · 4 TFL · 0.5 skImmediateJan 13
KE
Katron Evans
Winter window · 3★
DL↓ Arrival
Marshall
0.8640th pctl production · 11 tkl · 1.5 TFLImmediateNT2 rotationJan 16
DN
Da'Kaari Nelson
Winter window · 3★
LB↓ Arrival
Penn State
0.8624th pctl production · 5 tklImmediateWLB2 rotationJan 17
JO
Joshua Ofor
Winter window · 3★
LB↑ DepartureArkansas State0.86no recordImmediateJan 18
VP
Vander Ploog
Winter window · 3★
TE↓ Arrival
Oregon
0.86no recordImmediateTE3 depthJan 20
JT
Justin Terrell
Winter window · 3★
DL↑ DepartureSam Houston0.85no recordImmediateJan 10
TB
Tank Boston
Winter window · 3★
WR↑ DepartureCharlotte0.8513th pctl production · 2 rec · 11 ydsImmediateJan 12
TW
Ty White
Winter window · 3★
CB↓ Arrival
North Carolina
0.8525th pctl production · 3 tklImmediateNIC2 rotationJan 13