TWO DEEP
The Wire

Arkansas State Red Wolves transfer portal

NCAA · Sun Belt · 2026
OverviewRoster changeReplacementsPortal portfolioDependenceFlowAll moves
Position
Window
Transfer portal · 2026

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Both windows
Projected two-deep impacti
+20
Projected two-deep roles added · 2026 arrivals
Arkansas State added 20 transfers projected into the two-deep (13 as starters) against 35 departures whose next roles aren’t tracked here. Every number on this page is counted, not modelled — no composite portal grade is published because no defensible one exists yet.
34
Arrivals
-1
35
Departures
0.84
Avg rating in
-0.00
0.84
Avg rating out
20
Proj two-deep in
—
—
Out roles untracked
9 of 34
’25 production in
—
16 of 35
’25 production out
What changed
Upgraded
Projected starters arrived with rating holding or rising in 7 rooms, led by QB.
Depth concern
More players out than in with no two-deep answer — depth, not the starting line, is the exposure.
Still unresolved
Departures with no portal answer yet. Replacement must come from the returning roster or signing class.

How the roster changed

69 moves · 13 rooms touchedi
Offense
-3 net players
Upgraded—
QB
+4 in · −4 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
?
?
?
?
K
Jaylen Raynor out to Iowa State drives the room.
Replaced—
TE
+2 in · −2 out
InOut
?
Tyler Fortenberry out to Iowa State drives the room.
Upgraded—
OL
+5 in · −5 out · 3 proj starters in
InOut
?
?
?
?
?
Manasse Itete in from Florida State drives the room.
Depth concern-1 player
RB
+2 in · −3 out
InOut
?
?
Ja'Quez Cross out to App State drives the room.
Unresolved-2 players
WR
+0 in · −2 out
InOut
?
No arrivals
Damarcco Blanton out to UL Monroe drives the room.
Defense
0 net players
Upgraded+4 players
DL
+6 in · −2 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
?
?
Shakai Woods in from Middle Tennessee drives the room.
Replaced+2 players
CB
+5 in · −3 out · 3 proj starters in
InOut
?
?
?
Trenton Alan Yowe out to unannounced drives the room.
Replaced—
EDGE
+3 in · −3 out
InOut
?
Bryan Whitehead out to unannounced drives the room.
Upgraded-1 player
S
+1 in · −2 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
?
?
Makai Shahid in from Youngstown State drives the room.
Depth concern-5 players
LB
+3 in · −8 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
?
?
?
?
?
Aaron Alexander out to North Texas drives the room.
Specialists
+2 net players
Upgraded+1 player
LS
+1 in · −0 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
?
No departures
Riley Smith in from unverified school drives the room.
Upgraded+1 player
END
+1 in · −0 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
?
No departures
TJ Grant in from unverified school drives the room.
Upgraded—
P
+1 in · −1 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
Daniel Vuckovic in from Northern Illinois drives the room.
No movement—
K
+0 in · −0 out
InOutNo arrivalsNo departures
No portal movement in this room.
ArrivalDepartureHeavy ring · proj starter inThin ring · rotation inDotted · depth role or no ’25 recordMarker size = ’25 production percentile (smallest = none recorded)

Did Arkansas State replace what it lost?

Role slots, not player-for-player
Replaced
5 chains
OL
Starting slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Walker Davis
no ’25 production record
Replaced
Low confidence
In · from Florida State
Manasse Itete
rating 0.86 · lt1 starter
Jan 10
▾ Detail
DL
Starting slot
Out · to Auburn
Cody Sigler
rating 0.84 · 93rd pctl ’25 production · 34 tkl · 7 TFL · 5 sk
Replaced
High confidence
In · from Middle Tennessee
Shakai Woods
rating 0.84 · 94th pctl ’25 production · 48 tkl · 7 TFL · 2.5 sk · nt1 starter
Jan 13
▾ Detail
CB
Starting slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Josh Stone
33rd pctl ’25 production · 5 tkl
Replaced
Medium confidence
In · from Indiana
Dontrae Henderson
rating 0.79 · cb1 starter
Jan 20
▾ Detail
S
Starting slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Kemari Nix
0th pctl ’25 production · 1 tkl
Replaced
Medium confidence
In · from Youngstown State
Makai Shahid
rating 0.86 · s21 starter
Jan 11
▾ Detail
P
Starting slot
Out · to App State
Jaxson Dunn
no ’25 production record
Replaced
Medium confidence
In · from Northern Illinois
Daniel Vuckovic
16th pctl ’25 production · 25 punts · 42.3 yd avg · p1 starter
Jan 14
▾ Detail
Partially replaced
7 chains
QB
Starting slot
Out · to Iowa State
Jaylen Raynor
rating 0.85 · 97th pctl ’25 production · 332/500 · 3,364 pass yds · 19 TD · 11 INT · 428 rush yds
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Texas
Trey Owens
rating 0.86 · qb1 starter
Jan 9
▾ Detail
QB
Rotation slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Josh Flowers
22nd pctl ’25 production
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Vanderbilt
Drew Dickey
rating 0.82 · 11th pctl ’25 production · qb2 rotation
Jan 4
▾ Detail
EDGE
Rotation slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Bryan Whitehead
86th pctl ’25 production · 21 tkl · 9 TFL · 4 sk
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Central Connecticut
Gavin Taylor
rating 0.80 · jack2 rotation
Jan 13
▾ Detail
LB
Starting slot
Out · to North Texas
Aaron Alexander
rating 0.84 · 92nd pctl ’25 production · 92 tkl · 3 TFL · 0.5 sk · 1 INT
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Lafayette
Tre Stevens
rating 0.85 · $1 starter
Jan 16
▾ Detail
LB
Rotation slot
Out · to Texas State
Javante Mackey
rating 0.85 · 56th pctl ’25 production · 25 tkl · 2.5 TFL
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from NC State
Joshua Ofor
rating 0.86 · $2 rotation
Jan 18
▾ Detail
LB
Rotation slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Terry Kirksey Jr.
52nd pctl ’25 production · 18 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk · 1 INT
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from UCF
Kam Moore
rating 0.82 · 20th pctl ’25 production · 4 tkl · mac2 rotation
Jan 29
▾ Detail
CB
Starting slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Trenton Alan Yowe
86th pctl ’25 production · 49 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1 sk
Partial replacement
High confidence
In · from Kennesaw State
Five Hamilton
rating 0.84 · 79th pctl ’25 production · 38 tkl · 2 TFL · 1 INT · star1 starter
Jan 9
▾ Detail
Not replaced
4 chains
RB
Production lost
Out · to App State
Ja'Quez Cross
32nd pctl ’25 production · 5 rec · 33 yds · 1 TD
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No starter/rotation addition
2 depth arrivals in room · 2 producing losses unanswered
Jun 1
▾ Detail
TE
Production lost
Out · to Iowa State
Tyler Fortenberry
rating 0.86 · 85th pctl ’25 production · 32 rec · 294 yds · 2 TD
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No starter/rotation addition
2 depth arrivals in room
Jan 5
▾ Detail
EDGE
Production lost
Out · to South Carolina
Drew Collins
rating 0.86 · 53rd pctl ’25 production · 6 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 3 sk
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No further two-deep addition
1 two-deep arrival answers other losses · 2 depth arrivals in room
Jan 11
▾ Detail
LB
Production lost
Out · to Texas State
Jordan Sample
rating 0.83 · 24th pctl ’25 production · 5 tkl
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No further two-deep addition
3 two-deep arrivals answer other losses · 2 producing losses unanswered
Jan 21
▾ Detail

Quality vs experience

Portal rating
0.750.800.850.900.951.00
No ’25 production record
High-upside betProven impactDevelopmentalExperienced depth
Raynor
Collins
?
K
0th pctl25th pctl50th pctl75th pctl
’25 production · national position percentile
38 unrated moves not plotted — see the ledger

How much Arkansas State depends on transfers

Projected 2026 two-deep · 56 slots
Quarterback
2
100%
Skill (RB/WR/TE)
10
3
3
38%
Offensive line
3
2
5
70%
Front seven (EDGE/DL/LB)
4
4
50%
Secondary (CB/S)
5
1
4
50%
Specialists
6
2
2
40%
Returning signeesPrior-cycle transfers2026 transfers
50%
Projected two-deep from transfers
28 of 56 two-deep slots
18 of 28
Projected starters from transfers
13 from the 2026 cycle, 5 held over
38th
Sun Belt percentile · transfer share
9th-most transfer-dependent two-deep of 14 Sun Belt teams
Returning portal corePrior-cycle transfers still in the two-deep
Nana Burris
WR · from Florida International · 2025 cycle · WR32 rotation
27th pctl
’25 production · Arkansas State
Kenyon Clay
RB · from Southern Miss · 2025 cycle · RB1 starter
84th pctl
’25 production · Arkansas State
Wil Saxton
OL · from Southern Miss · 2025 cycle · RG1 starter
—
no ’25 record
AG McGhee
S · from Marshall · 2025 cycle · S1 starter
98th pctl
’25 production · Arkansas State
Gabe Fortson
OL · from Tulane · 2025 cycle · LG2 rotation
—
no ’25 record
Jaylen Bonelli
WR · from Wagner · 2025 cycle · WR31 starter
59th pctl
’25 production · Arkansas State

Where Arkansas State’s transfers came from — and where they went

Sources · 34 arrivals35 departures · destinations
Not announced
10 players
+
Non-FBS
8 players
SEC
3 players
Big 12
3 players
ACC
3 players
Conference USA
2 players
Other
5 players
+
+
Unannounced
18 players
SEC
3 players
Sun Belt
3 players
Non-FBS
3 players
Pac-12
3 players
Big 12
2 players
+
Other
3 players
Arkansas State
-1 net moves
Arrived from · 34
+
Not announced
10 players
Non-FBS
8 players
SEC
3 players
Big 12
3 players
ACC
3 players
Conference USA
2 players
+
Other
5 players
Departed to · 35
+
Unannounced
18 players
SEC
3 players
Sun Belt
3 players
Non-FBS
3 players
Pac-12
3 players
Big 12
2 players
+
Other
3 players
10arrivals came from Not announced programs — the single largest source.
20arrivals are projected straight into the two-deep (10 of 34 arrivals came from P4 leagues).
3departures stayed inside the Sun Belt.

How the window developed

Cumulative net moves · in − out
SPRING WINDOWWINTER WINDOWFortenberryOwensIteteCollinsShahid-12EVENTRANSACTION ORDER · DEC 13 → JUN 1 · UNIT: NET MOVE COUNTSPRING WINDOWWINTER WINDOWFortenberryOwens-12EVENTRANSACTION ORDER · DEC 13 → JUN 1 · UNIT: NET MOVE COUNT
11 undated moves not plotted

All portal moves

69 of 69 moves match · 25 shown
Show
Role in
Sort
PlayerPosDirectionOrigin / destinationRating’25 productionEligProjected roleDate
TF
Tyler Fortenberry
Winter window · 3★
TE↑ DepartureIowa State0.8685th pctl production · 32 rec · 294 yds · 2 TDImmediate—Jan 5
TO
Trey Owens
Winter window · 3★
QB↓ Arrival
Texas
0.86no recordImmediateQB1 starterJan 9
MI
Manasse Itete
Winter window · 3★
OL↓ Arrival
Florida State
0.86no recordImmediateLT1 starterJan 10
DC
Drew Collins
Winter window · 3★
EDGE↑ DepartureSouth Carolina0.8653rd pctl production · 6 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 3 skImmediate—Jan 11
MS
Makai Shahid
Winter window · 3★
S↓ Arrival
Youngstown State
0.86no recordImmediateS21 starterJan 11
JO
Joshua Ofor
Winter window · 3★
LB↓ Arrival
NC State
0.86no recordImmediate$2 rotationJan 18
JR
Jaylen Raynor
Winter window · 3★
QB↑ DepartureIowa State0.8597th pctl production · 332/500 · 3,364 pass yds · 19 TD · 11 INT · 428 rush ydsImmediate—Jan 4
AT
AJ Thomas
Winter window · 3★
EDGE↓ Arrival
McNeese
0.85no recordImmediateEND5 depthJan 12
JS
Jérémy St-Hilaire
Winter window · 3★
QB↓ Arrival
?Not announced
0.85no recordImmediateQB4 depthJan 12
TC
Tyeland Coleman
Winter window · 3★
DL↓ Arrival
Florida State
0.8526th pctl production · 2 tkl · 1 TFL · 1 skImmediateNT3 depthJan 13
NK
Nicolas Kalume
Winter window · 3★
DL↓ Arrival
Maine
0.85no recordImmediateNT5 depthJan 15
SB
Sultan Badmus
Winter window · 3★
EDGE↓ Arrival
Temple
0.8530th pctl production · 5 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 skImmediateEND3 depthJan 15
TS
Tre Stevens
Winter window · 3★
LB↓ Arrival
Lafayette
0.85no recordImmediate$1 starterJan 16
JM
Javante Mackey
Winter window · 3★
LB↑ DepartureTexas State0.8556th pctl production · 25 tkl · 2.5 TFLImmediate—Jan 21
CS
Cody Sigler
Winter window · 3★
DL↑ DepartureAuburn0.8493rd pctl production · 34 tkl · 7 TFL · 5 skImmediate—Jan 8
AA
Aaron Alexander
Winter window · 3★
LB↑ DepartureNorth Texas0.8492nd pctl production · 92 tkl · 3 TFL · 0.5 sk · 1 INTImmediate—Jan 9
FH
Five Hamilton
Winter window · 3★
CB↓ Arrival
Kennesaw State
0.8479th pctl production · 38 tkl · 2 TFL · 1 INTImmediateSTAR1 starterJan 9
SW
Shakai Woods
Winter window · 3★
DL↓ Arrival
Middle Tennessee
0.8494th pctl production · 48 tkl · 7 TFL · 2.5 skImmediateNT1 starterJan 13
DB
Damarcco Blanton
Winter window · 3★
WR↑ DepartureUL Monroe0.84no recordImmediate—Jan 22
DM
DeDe Murray
Spring window · 3★
RB↑ DepartureTexas A&M0.84no recordImmediate—May 7
BR
Bryson Ross
Winter window · 3★
CB↓ Arrival
Portland State
0.83no recordImmediateCB5 depthJan 10
JH
Jaylen Heyward
Winter window · 3★
CB↓ Arrival
UCF
0.8325th pctl production · 3 tklImmediateCB4 depthJan 11
CF
Cedric Franklin II
Winter window · 3★
CB↑ DepartureBall State0.83no recordImmediate—Jan 12
JB
Jax Brown
Winter window · 3★
QB↑ Departure
KKilgore College
0.83no recordImmediate—Jan 12
JS
Jordan Sample
Winter window · 3★
LB↑ DepartureTexas State0.8324th pctl production · 5 tklImmediate—Jan 21