TWO DEEP
The Wire

Texas Tech Red Raiders transfer portal

NCAA · Big 12 · 2026
OverviewRoster changeReplacementsPortal portfolioDependenceFlowAll moves
Position
Window
Transfer portal · 2026

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Both windows
Projected two-deep impacti
+19
Projected two-deep roles added · 2026 arrivals
Texas Tech added 19 transfers projected into the two-deep (10 as starters) against 20 departures whose next roles aren’t tracked here. Every number on this page is counted, not modelled — no composite portal grade is published because no defensible one exists yet.
24
Arrivals
+4
20
Departures
0.87
Avg rating in
+0.01
0.85
Avg rating out
19
Proj two-deep in
—
—
Out roles untracked
17 of 24
’25 production in
—
15 of 20
’25 production out
What changed
Upgraded
Projected starters arrived with rating holding or rising in 6 rooms, led by OL.
Depth concern
More players out than in with no two-deep answer — depth, not the starting line, is the exposure.
Still unresolved
Every departure has a portal answer.

How the roster changed

44 moves · 11 rooms touchedi
Offense
0 net players
Replaced+1 player
QB
+2 in · −1 out
InOut
Thomas Castellanos in from Florida State drives the room.
Upgraded+1 player
OL
+1 in · −0 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
No departures
Jordan Church in from Louisville drives the room.
Replaced—
TE
+1 in · −1 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
Jett Carpenter in from Nevada drives the room.
No movement—
RB
+0 in · −0 out
InOutNo arrivalsNo departures
No portal movement in this room.
Depth concern-2 players
WR
+4 in · −6 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
?
?
Kenny Johnson in from Pittsburgh drives the room.
Defense
+3 net players
Upgraded+2 players
EDGE
+4 in · −2 out · 2 proj starters in
InOut
Adam Trick in from Miami (OH) drives the room.
Upgraded+1 player
DL
+5 in · −4 out · 2 proj starters in
InOut
Julien Laventure in from Akron drives the room.
Upgraded+1 player
LB
+2 in · −1 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
?
Austin Romaine in from Kansas State drives the room.
Replaced—
S
+1 in · −1 out
InOut
Chapman Lewis out to Utah State drives the room.
Upgraded-1 player
CB
+2 in · −3 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
Davin Martin in from UTSA drives the room.
Specialists
+1 net players
Upgraded+1 player
P
+1 in · −0 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
No departures
Will Karoll in from UCLA drives the room.
Replaced—
K
+1 in · −1 out
InOut
Upton Bellenfant out to South Carolina drives the room.
No movement—
LS
+0 in · −0 out
InOutNo arrivalsNo departures
No portal movement in this room.
ArrivalDepartureHeavy ring · proj starter inThin ring · rotation inDotted · depth role or no ’25 recordMarker size = ’25 production percentile (smallest = none recorded)

Did Texas Tech replace what it lost?

Role slots, not player-for-player
Replaced
8 chains
WR
Starting slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Kelby Valsin
28th pctl ’25 production · 3 rec · 35 yds
Upgrade
High confidence
In · from Pittsburgh
Kenny Johnson
rating 0.86 · 89th pctl ’25 production · 47 rec · 658 yds · 5 TD · x1 starter
Jan 7
▾ Detail
TE
Starting slot
Out · to SMU
Trey Jackson
rating 0.86
Upgrade
Medium confidence
In · from Nevada
Jett Carpenter
rating 0.85 · 91st pctl ’25 production · 35 rec · 374 yds · 2 TD · te2 starter
Jan 9
▾ Detail
EDGE
Starting slot
Out · to TCU
Cheta Ofili
rating 0.86 · 20th pctl ’25 production · 3 tkl · 1 TFL
Upgrade
High confidence
In · from Miami (OH)
Adam Trick
rating 0.90 · 99th pctl ’25 production · 57 tkl · 12 TFL · 8 sk · 1 INT · lde1 starter
Jan 7
▾ Detail
EDGE
Starting slot
Out · to UTSA
Dylan Spencer
rating 0.85 · 9th pctl ’25 production · 2 tkl
Upgrade
High confidence
In · from San Diego State
Trey White
rating 0.86 · 98th pctl ’25 production · 47 tkl · 10.5 TFL · 7 sk · lde21 starter
Jan 5
▾ Detail
DL
Starting slot
Out · to UCLA
Amier Washington
rating 0.86 · 31st pctl ’25 production · 7 tkl · 1 TFL
Upgrade
High confidence
In · from Wake Forest
Mateen Ibirogba
rating 0.96 · 69th pctl ’25 production · 21 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2 sk · nt1 starter
Jan 7
▾ Detail
DL
Starting slot
Out · to Oklahoma State
Braylon Rigsby
rating 0.87 · 21st pctl ’25 production · 5 tkl
Replaced
Medium confidence
In · from Houston
A.J. Holmes Jr.
no ’25 production record · dt1 starter
—
▾ Detail
LB
Starting slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Justin Horne
no ’25 production record
Replaced
Medium confidence
In · from Kansas State
Austin Romaine
rating 0.87 · 85th pctl ’25 production · 66 tkl · 7 TFL · 0.5 sk · 1 INT · wlb1 starter
Jan 4
▾ Detail
CB
Starting slot
Out · to Oklahoma State
Maurion Horn
rating 0.86 · 38th pctl ’25 production · 4 tkl · 3 PD
Upgrade
High confidence
In · from UTSA
Davin Martin
rating 0.87 · 67th pctl ’25 production · 26 tkl · 1 TFL · 1 INT · rcb2 starter
Jan 5
▾ Detail
Partially replaced
7 chains
QB
Rotation slot
Out · to East Carolina
Mitch Griffis
48th pctl ’25 production · 26/36 · 357 pass yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Florida State
Thomas Castellanos
90th pctl ’25 production · 180/309 · 2,760 pass yds · 15 TD · 9 INT · 557 rush yds · qb2 rotation
Aug 21
▾ Detail
WR
Rotation slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Roy Alexander
25th pctl ’25 production · 3 rec · 31 yds
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Auburn
Malcolm Simmons
rating 0.91 · 80th pctl ’25 production · 25 rec · 457 yds · 2 TD · kr2 rotation
Jan 12
▾ Detail
WR
Rotation slot
Out · to UTSA
T.J. West
18th pctl ’25 production · 3 rec · 19 yds
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Liberty
Donte Lee Jr.
rating 0.86 · 86th pctl ’25 production · 32 rec · 589 yds · 5 TD · z2 rotation
Jan 4
▾ Detail
WR
Rotation slot
Out · to Incarnate Word
Price Morgan
13th pctl ’25 production · 1 rec · 12 yds
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Alabama State
Jalen Jones
rating 0.86 · sl2 rotation
Jan 4
▾ Detail
DL
Rotation slot
Out · to Utah State
Kasen Long
rating 0.85 · 0th pctl ’25 production · 1 tkl
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Washington
Bryce Butler
rating 0.86 · 72nd pctl ’25 production · 20 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 3 sk · dt2 rotation
Jan 5
▾ Detail
CB
Rotation slot
Out · to Tulane
Macho Stevenson
0th pctl ’25 production · 1 tkl
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from UTEP
Amier Boyd
no ’25 production record · rcb1 rotation
—
▾ Detail
K
Rotation slot
Out · to South Carolina
Upton Bellenfant
35th pctl ’25 production · 6/6 FG · 33 pts
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Arizona State
Ian Hershey
no ’25 production record · ko2 rotation
—
▾ Detail
Not replaced
2 chains
WR
Production lost
Out · to Houston
Tyson Turner
rating 0.85 · 9th pctl ’25 production · 1 rec · 8 yds
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No further two-deep addition
4 two-deep arrivals answer other losses
Jan 10
▾ Detail
DL
Production lost
Out · to UTSA
Eddy Smith
0th pctl ’25 production · 1 tkl
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No further two-deep addition
3 two-deep arrivals answer other losses · 2 depth arrivals in room
Jan 9
▾ Detail

Quality vs experience

Portal rating
0.750.800.850.900.951.00
No ’25 production record
High-upside betProven impactDevelopmentalExperienced depth
Trick
Ibirogba
Francis
Horn
0th pctl25th pctl50th pctl75th pctl
’25 production · national position percentile
16 unrated moves not plotted — see the ledger

How much Texas Tech depends on transfers

Projected 2026 two-deep · 56 slots
Quarterback
1
1
50%
Skill (RB/WR/TE)
5
2
4
55%
Offensive line
6
3
1
40%
Front seven (EDGE/DL/LB)
4
8
67%
Secondary (CB/S)
7
1
2
30%
Specialists
4
7
64%
Returning signeesPrior-cycle transfers2026 transfers
52%
Projected two-deep from transfers
29 of 56 two-deep slots
15 of 29
Projected starters from transfers
10 from the 2026 cycle, 5 held over
33rd
Big 12 percentile · transfer share
10th-most transfer-dependent two-deep of 16 Big 12 teams
Returning portal corePrior-cycle transfers still in the two-deep
Jason Llewellyn
TE · from Oklahoma · 2024 cycle · LS21 starter
—
no ’25 record
Hunter Zambrano
OL · from Illinois State · 2025 cycle · LG2 rotation
—
no ’25 record
Brice Pollock
CB · from Mississippi State · 2025 cycle · LCB1 starter
91st pctl
’25 production · Texas Tech
Terrance Carter Jr.
TE · from Louisiana · 2025 cycle · TE1 rotation
99th pctl
’25 production · Texas Tech
Howard Sampson
OL · from North Carolina · 2025 cycle · LT1 starter
—
no ’25 record
Cash Cleveland
OL · from Colorado · 2025 cycle · LG1 starter
—
no ’25 record

Where Texas Tech’s transfers came from — and where they went

Sources · 24 arrivals20 departures · destinations
Big 12
4 players
ACC
4 players
Non-FBS
3 players
Mid-American
3 players
Big Ten
2 players
American Athletic
2 players
Other
6 players
+
American Athletic
5 players
Big 12
4 players
+
Unannounced
3 players
Non-FBS
3 players
Pac-12
2 players
SEC
1 player
+
Other
2 players
Texas Tech
+4 net moves
Arrived from · 24
Big 12
4 players
ACC
4 players
Non-FBS
3 players
Mid-American
3 players
Big Ten
2 players
American Athletic
2 players
+
Other
6 players
Departed to · 20
American Athletic
5 players
Big 12
4 players
+
Unannounced
3 players
Non-FBS
3 players
Pac-12
2 players
SEC
1 player
+
Other
2 players
4arrivals came from Big 12 programs — the single largest source.
19arrivals are projected straight into the two-deep (11 of 24 arrivals came from P4 leagues).
4departures stayed inside the Big 12.

How the window developed

Cumulative net moves · in − out
SPRING WINDOWWINTER WINDOWTrickIbirogbaSimmonsPlattChurch+1EVENTRANSACTION ORDER · NOV 19 → AUG 21 · UNIT: NET MOVE COUNTSPRING WINDOWWINTER WINDOWIbirogbaSimmons+1EVENTRANSACTION ORDER · NOV 19 → AUG 21 · UNIT: NET MOVE COUNT
3 undated moves not plotted

All portal moves

44 of 44 moves match · 25 shown
Show
Role in
Sort
PlayerPosDirectionOrigin / destinationRating’25 productionEligProjected roleDate
MI
Mateen Ibirogba
Winter window · 4★
DL↓ Arrival
Wake Forest
0.9669th pctl production · 21 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2 skImmediateNT1 starterJan 7
MS
Malcolm Simmons
Winter window · 4★
WR↓ Arrival
Auburn
0.9180th pctl production · 25 rec · 457 yds · 2 TDImmediateKR2 rotationJan 12
JC
Jordan Church
Winter window · 4★
OL↓ Arrival
Louisville
0.91no recordImmediateRG1 starterJan 15
AT
Adam Trick
Winter window · 4★
EDGE↓ Arrival
Miami (OH)
0.9099th pctl production · 57 tkl · 12 TFL · 8 sk · 1 INTImmediateLDE1 starterJan 7
CP
Corey Platt Jr.
Winter window · 3★
LB↓ Arrival
Houston
0.8876th pctl production · 41 tkl · 5 TFL · 3 skImmediateWLB2 rotationJan 13
AR
Austin Romaine
Winter window · 3★
LB↓ Arrival
Kansas State
0.8785th pctl production · 66 tkl · 7 TFL · 0.5 sk · 1 INTImmediateWLB1 starterJan 4
DM
Davin Martin
Winter window · 3★
CB↓ Arrival
UTSA
0.8767th pctl production · 26 tkl · 1 TFL · 1 INTImmediateRCB2 starterJan 5
BR
Braylon Rigsby
Winter window · 3★
DL↑ DepartureOklahoma State0.8721st pctl production · 5 tklImmediate—Jan 8
AF
Amarie Fleming
Winter window · 3★
EDGE↓ Arrival
Allen University
0.86no recordImmediateLDE24 depthNov 19
DL
Donte Lee Jr.
Winter window · 3★
WR↓ Arrival
Liberty
0.8686th pctl production · 32 rec · 589 yds · 5 TDImmediateZ2 rotationJan 4
JJ
Jalen Jones
Winter window · 3★
WR↓ Arrival
Alabama State
0.86no recordImmediateSL2 rotationJan 4
BB
Bryce Butler
Winter window · 3★
DL↓ Arrival
Washington
0.8672nd pctl production · 20 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 3 skImmediateDT2 rotationJan 5
TW
Trey White
Winter window · 3★
EDGE↓ Arrival
San Diego State
0.8698th pctl production · 47 tkl · 10.5 TFL · 7 skImmediateLDE21 starterJan 5
MH
Maurion Horn
Winter window · 3★
CB↑ DepartureOklahoma State0.8638th pctl production · 4 tkl · 3 PDImmediate—Jan 6
JJ
Jojo Johnson
Winter window · 3★
DL↓ Arrival
Oregon State
0.8675th pctl production · 18 tkl · 6.5 TFL · 2.5 sk · 1 INTImmediateDT3 depthJan 7
KJ
Kenny Johnson
Winter window · 3★
WR↓ Arrival
Pittsburgh
0.8689th pctl production · 47 rec · 658 yds · 5 TDImmediateX1 starterJan 7
CO
Cheta Ofili
Winter window · 3★
EDGE↑ DepartureTCU0.8620th pctl production · 3 tkl · 1 TFLImmediate—Jan 9
AW
Amier Washington
Winter window · 3★
DL↑ DepartureUCLA0.8631st pctl production · 7 tkl · 1 TFLImmediate—Jan 10
TJ
Trey Jackson
Winter window · 3★
TE↑ DepartureSMU0.86no recordImmediate—Jan 12
DS
Dylan Spencer
Winter window · 3★
EDGE↑ DepartureUTSA0.859th pctl production · 2 tklImmediate—Jan 7
JC
Jett Carpenter
Winter window · 3★
TE↓ Arrival
Nevada
0.8591st pctl production · 35 rec · 374 yds · 2 TDImmediateTE2 starterJan 9
TT
Tyson Turner
Winter window · 3★
WR↑ DepartureHouston0.859th pctl production · 1 rec · 8 ydsImmediate—Jan 10
KL
Kasen Long
Winter window · 3★
DL↑ DepartureUtah State0.850th pctl production · 1 tklImmediate—Jan 27
JM
Jamond Mathis
Winter window · 3★
EDGE↓ Arrival
Kent State
0.8492nd pctl production · 28 tkl · 8 TFL · 6 skImmediateLDE22 rotationJan 12
JL
Julien Laventure
Winter window · 3★
DL↓ Arrival
Akron
0.8396th pctl production · 45 tkl · 10.5 TFL · 4 skImmediateNT3 depthJan 5