TWO DEEP
The Wire

New Mexico Lobos transfer portal

NCAA · Mountain West · 2026
OverviewRoster changeReplacementsPortal portfolioDependenceFlowAll moves
Position
Window
Transfer portal · 2026

New Mexico Lobos

Both windows
Projected two-deep impacti
+16
Projected two-deep roles added · 2026 arrivals
New Mexico added 16 transfers projected into the two-deep (8 as starters) against 14 departures whose next roles aren’t tracked here. Every number on this page is counted, not modelled — no composite portal grade is published because no defensible one exists yet.
27
Arrivals
+13
14
Departures
0.84
Avg rating in
-0.01
0.86
Avg rating out
16
Proj two-deep in
—
—
Out roles untracked
8 of 27
’25 production in
—
8 of 14
’25 production out
What changed
Upgraded
Projected starters arrived with rating holding or rising in 7 rooms, led by RB.
Depth concern
More players out than in with no two-deep answer — depth, not the starting line, is the exposure.
Still unresolved
Every departure has a portal answer.

How the roster changed

41 moves · 13 rooms touchedi
Offense
+2 net players
Upgraded+1 player
RB
+2 in · −1 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
DJ McKinney out to Tulsa drives the room.
Replaced+1 player
WR
+2 in · −1 out
InOut
?
Troy Omeire in from UNLV drives the room.
Replaced+1 player
QB
+2 in · −1 out
InOut
Luke Moga in from Oregon drives the room.
Upgraded+1 player
OL
+3 in · −2 out · 2 proj starters in
InOut
N
L
?
?
Cole Millward in from Weber State drives the room.
Depth concern-2 players
TE
+2 in · −4 out
InOut
?
?
Dorian Thomas out to California drives the room.
Defense
+8 net players
Replaced+3 players
DL
+3 in · −0 out
InOut
J
No departures
Deven Dyer in from Western New Mexico drives the room.
Upgraded+2 players
CB
+2 in · −0 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
No departures
Eric McClain in from Ball State drives the room.
Replaced+2 players
EDGE
+3 in · −1 out
InOut
C
?
Landon Williams out to Stephen F. Austin drives the room.
Upgraded+1 player
LB
+2 in · −1 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
?
Clay Martineau in from Boise State drives the room.
Replaced—
S
+1 in · −1 out
InOut
?
Clint Stephens out to unannounced drives the room.
Specialists
+3 net players
Upgraded+3 players
K
+3 in · −0 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
No departures
Nick Romero in from Wagner drives the room.
Upgraded—
P
+1 in · −1 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
Michael Kern in from California drives the room.
Upgraded—
LS
+1 in · −1 out · 1 proj starter in
InOut
Trey Dubuc out to Texas drives the room.
ArrivalDepartureHeavy ring · proj starter inThin ring · rotation inDotted · depth role or no ’25 recordMarker size = ’25 production percentile (smallest = none recorded)

Did New Mexico replace what it lost?

Role slots, not player-for-player
Replaced
4 chains
OL
Starting slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Travis Gray
no ’25 production record
Replaced
Low confidence
In · from Weber State
Cole Millward
no ’25 production record · lt2 starter
—
▾ Detail
LB
Starting slot
Out · to unannounced
?
Mihalis Santorineos
no ’25 production record
Replaced
Low confidence
In · from St. Francis (PA)
Mercury Swaim
no ’25 production record · lb21 starter
—
▾ Detail
P
Starting slot
Out · to Florida State
Daniel Hughes
36th pctl ’25 production · 39 punts · 45 yd avg
Replaced
High confidence
In · from California
Michael Kern
36th pctl ’25 production · 39 punts · 41.5 yd avg · p1 starter
Feb 2
▾ Detail
LS
Starting slot
Out · to Texas
Trey Dubuc
18th pctl ’25 production · 2 tkl
Replaced
Medium confidence
In · from Central Michigan
Lincoln Epstein
no ’25 production record · ls1 starter
—
▾ Detail
Partially replaced
3 chains
QB
Rotation slot
Out · to Southeastern Louisiana
Cole Welliver
rating 0.84
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Oregon
Luke Moga
rating 0.85 · 21st pctl ’25 production · qb2 rotation
Jan 23
▾ Detail
RB
Starting slot
Out · to Tulsa
DJ McKinney
79th pctl ’25 production · 464 rush yds · 4.2 ypc · 7 TD · 15 rec
Partial replacement
High confidence
In · from North Texas
Kiefer Sibley
60th pctl ’25 production · 274 rush yds · 6.1 ypc · 5 TD · kr1 starter
—
▾ Detail
EDGE
Rotation slot
Out · to Stephen F. Austin
Landon Williams
21st pctl ’25 production · 5 tkl
Partial replacement
Medium confidence
In · from Memphis
Jalen Charles
no ’25 production record · de2 rotation
Jan 5
▾ Detail
Not replaced
3 chains
WR
Production lost
Out · to unannounced
?
Isaiah Blair
17th pctl ’25 production · 1 rec · 18 yds
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No starter/rotation addition
2 depth arrivals in room
Dec 31
▾ Detail
TE
Production lost
Out · to California
Dorian Thomas
rating 0.90 · 98th pctl ’25 production · 56 rec · 560 yds · 4 TD
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No starter/rotation addition
2 depth arrivals in room · 2 producing losses unanswered
Jan 7
▾ Detail
S
Production lost
Out · to unannounced
?
Clint Stephens
42nd pctl ’25 production · 4 tkl · 1 TFL · 1 sk
Unresolved
Room restocked · slot open
In
No starter/rotation addition
1 depth arrival in room
Jan 17
▾ Detail

Quality vs experience

Portal rating
0.750.800.850.900.951.00
No ’25 production record
High-upside betProven impactDevelopmentalExperienced depth
Thomas
Omeire
Arnold
0th pctl25th pctl50th pctl75th pctl
’25 production · national position percentile
31 unrated moves not plotted — see the ledger

How much New Mexico depends on transfers

Projected 2026 two-deep · 58 slots
Quarterback
1
1
50%
Skill (RB/WR/TE)
8
2
3
38%
Offensive line
5
2
3
50%
Front seven (EDGE/DL/LB)
6
1
5
50%
Secondary (CB/S)
7
1
2
30%
Specialists
3
1
7
73%
Returning signeesPrior-cycle transfers2026 transfers
48%
Projected two-deep from transfers
28 of 58 two-deep slots
15 of 30
Projected starters from transfers
9 from the 2026 cycle, 6 held over
56th
Mountain West percentile · transfer share
5th-most transfer-dependent two-deep of 10 Mountain West teams
Returning portal corePrior-cycle transfers still in the two-deep
Kaden Robnett
OL · from Idaho · 2025 cycle · C1 starter
—
no ’25 record
Brian Booker
DL · from Texas Southern · 2025 cycle · DT21 starter
64th pctl
’25 production · New Mexico
Tyler Lawrence
OL · from Air Force · 2025 cycle · RT1 starter
—
no ’25 record
Austin Brawley
S · from Ohio · 2025 cycle · S21 starter
76th pctl
’25 production · New Mexico
Scottre Humphrey
RB · from Montana State · 2025 cycle · RB1 starter
66th pctl
’25 production · New Mexico
Simon Mapa
TE · from California · 2025 cycle · TE22 starter
39th pctl
’25 production · New Mexico

Where New Mexico’s transfers came from — and where they went

Sources · 27 arrivals14 departures · destinations
Non-FBS
12 players
American Athletic
3 players
Mid-American
2 players
Big Ten
2 players
Big 12
2 players
Mountain West
2 players
Other
4 players
+
+
Unannounced
7 players
American Athletic
2 players
ACC
2 players
Non-FBS
2 players
SEC
1 player
New Mexico
+13 net moves
Arrived from · 27
Non-FBS
12 players
American Athletic
3 players
Mid-American
2 players
Big Ten
2 players
Big 12
2 players
Mountain West
2 players
+
Other
4 players
Departed to · 14
+
Unannounced
7 players
American Athletic
2 players
ACC
2 players
Non-FBS
2 players
SEC
1 player
12arrivals came from Non-FBS programs — the single largest source.
16arrivals are projected straight into the two-deep (5 of 27 arrivals came from P4 leagues).
0departures stayed inside the Mountain West.

How the window developed

Cumulative net moves · in − out
WINTER WINDOWThomasOlsenArnoldMartineauOmeire-2EVENTRANSACTION ORDER · DEC 27 → FEB 2 · UNIT: NET MOVE COUNTWINTER WINDOWThomasOmeire-2EVENTRANSACTION ORDER · DEC 27 → FEB 2 · UNIT: NET MOVE COUNT
15 undated moves not plotted

All portal moves

41 of 41 moves match · 25 shown
Show
Role in
Sort
PlayerPosDirectionOrigin / destinationRating’25 productionEligProjected roleDate
DT
Dorian Thomas
Winter window · 4★
TE↑ DepartureCalifornia0.9098th pctl production · 56 rec · 560 yds · 4 TDImmediate—Jan 7
TO
Troy Omeire
Winter window · 3★
WR↓ Arrival
UNLV
0.8782nd pctl production · 32 rec · 521 yds · 5 TDImmediateWR23 depthJan 23
JO
Joey Olsen
Winter window · 3★
TE↓ Arrival
USC
0.85no recordImmediateTE3 depthJan 13
OA
Ormanie Arnold
Winter window · 3★
CB↓ Arrival
Cincinnati
0.8556th pctl production · 15 tkl · 3 PDImmediateCB21 starterJan 13
CM
Clay Martineau
Winter window · 3★
LB↓ Arrival
Boise State
0.859th pctl production · 1 tkl · 0.5 TFLImmediateLB2 rotationJan 20
LM
Luke Moga
Winter window · 3★
QB↓ Arrival
Oregon
0.8521st pctl productionImmediateQB2 rotationJan 23
CW
Cole Welliver
Winter window · 3★
QB↑ Departure
Southeastern Louisiana
0.84no recordImmediate—Jan 17
MV
Marcus Vinson
Winter window · 3★
TE↑ DepartureFlorida Atlantic0.83no recordImmediate—Jan 14
NR
Nick Romero
Winter window · 3★
K↓ Arrival
Wagner
0.83no recordImmediatePK2 rotationJan 20
KO
Konner Olson
Winter window · 3★
K↓ Arrival
Western Kentucky
0.80no recordImmediatePK3 depthJan 20
TG
Travis Gray
Winter window · 3★
OL↑ Departure
?Not announced
—no recordImmediate—Dec 27
AV
Aiden Valdez
Winter window · 3★
TE↑ Departure
?Not announced
—1 rec · -3 ydsImmediate—Dec 28
IB
Isaiah Blair
Winter window
WR↑ Departure
?Not announced
—17th pctl production · 1 rec · 18 ydsImmediate—Dec 31
ML
Max Lantzsch
Winter window
TE↑ Departure
?Not announced
—no recordImmediate—Dec 31
TD
Trey Dubuc
Winter window · 2★
LS↑ DepartureTexas—18th pctl production · 2 tklImmediate—Jan 4
DM
DJ McKinney
Winter window
RB↑ DepartureTulsa—79th pctl production · 464 rush yds · 4.2 ypc · 7 TD · 15 recImmediate—Jan 5
JC
Jalen Charles
Winter window · 3★
EDGE↓ Arrival
Memphis
—no recordImmediateDE2 rotationJan 5
ML
Marko Luera
Winter window · 3★
OL↑ Departure
?Not announced
—no recordImmediate—Jan 6
DH
Daniel Hughes
Winter window
P↑ DepartureFlorida State—36th pctl production · 39 punts · 45 yd avgImmediate—Jan 8
MS
Mihalis Santorineos
Winter window · 2★
LB↑ Departure
?Not announced
—no recordImmediate—Jan 8
WH
Will Hicks
Winter window
S↓ Arrival
Hampton
—no recordImmediateS4 depthJan 10
DD
Deven Dyer
Winter window
DL↓ Arrival
Western New Mexico
—no recordImmediateDT4 depthJan 11
EM
Eric McClain
Winter window · 3★
CB↓ Arrival
Ball State
—69th pctl production · 26 tkl · 1 TFL · 2 INTImmediateCB22 rotationJan 11
CS
Clint Stephens
Winter window · 3★
S↑ Departure
?Not announced
—42nd pctl production · 4 tkl · 1 TFL · 1 skImmediate—Jan 17
LW
Landon Williams
Winter window · 3★
EDGE↑ Departure
Stephen F. Austin
—21st pctl production · 5 tklImmediate—Feb 2